Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.107606 0.164591 0.231585 0.313630 0.409226 0.515279 0.640151
2025-12-28 0.046039 0.113501 0.209375 0.341731 0.509530 0.707437 0.951775
2026-01-04 0.019464 0.083351 0.191768 0.355191 0.573754 0.840741 1.178808
2026-01-11 0.008982 0.071026 0.193995 0.391370 0.664613 1.005587 1.443750
2026-01-18 0.002821 0.058890 0.191597 0.417679 0.740272 1.150089 1.683084
2026-01-25 0.000037 0.042661 0.176080 0.420919 0.782619 1.251232 1.868586
2026-02-01 NaN 0.022777 0.143245 0.391227 0.775536 1.286383 1.970422
2026-02-08 NaN 0.008482 0.109623 0.352792 0.751123 1.295539 2.037032
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003070 0.093230 0.340630 0.762585 1.350387 2.160063
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001198 0.087434 0.347218 0.801679 1.442093 2.330154
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000092 0.077662 0.343684 0.824043 1.510417 2.469782
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.063177 0.326584 0.823157 1.545621 2.565664
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.067769 0.355356 0.899591 1.692631 2.813283
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.071976 0.383719 0.976270 1.841260 3.064787
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.070778 0.398471 1.030299 1.957922 3.274168
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.078918 0.436798 1.123778 2.130595 3.557833
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.082902 0.464718 1.200075 2.279215 3.810082
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.077416 0.468142 1.235379 2.369929 3.986083
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.059986 0.436669 1.210304 2.373984 4.046811
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.041891 0.395830 1.165835 2.348195 4.066265
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.034075 0.382883 1.168695 2.389750 4.174855
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.032190 0.389898 1.207407 2.483770 4.354223
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.027781 0.386135 1.226000 2.548012 4.493307